Duke — Thinking in Bets

Book page: duke-thinking-in-bets-part-2, duke-thinking-in-bets-part-1

From: Quotes batch 5


Edition: Portfolio/Penguin (2018)

On Decision Making and Resulting

“Resulting is a natural cognitive shortcut that can wreak havoc on our decision-making. We link results with the quality of the decision, even though luck plays a significant role.” (Chapter 1, p. 7)

On Critical Thinking and Uncertainty

“Admitting that we are not sure is a step toward being more objective. It moves us away from the trap of binary thinking—right or wrong—and into the world of probabilities.” (Chapter 2, p. 53)

On Truth-Seeking in Society

“Truth-seeking involves a desire to know the truth even if it doesn’t align with our current beliefs.” (Chapter 4, p. 121)